The relationship between perennial rhythms of population morbidity and wild plants developmentin terms of changes in solar activity
DOI: 10.22138/2500-0918-2019-16-2-190-194
L.N. Sereda
Polar Alpine Botanical Garden & Institute, Apatity, Russian Federation;
Kola Sci. Centre of Russian Academy of Science, Apatity, Russian Federation
Abstract. Purpose of research. The aim of this work was to test the assumption about the possibility of predicting the morbidity of Arctic population by character of variability of local flora growth and development rhythms. Materials and methods. Phenological observations of representatives of vascular plants growing in the territory of mining and metallurgical complex of Murmansk region were carried out. Duration of phenological phases related to total duration of summer period and variability of this parameter, the average data on the morbidity of the population living in the industrial part of the Murmansk region, as well as solar activity, were analyzed. The forms of the obtained curves were compared by the values of Hemming distances. Results. It was found that the most significant differences in the studied phenological characteristics are directly related to changes in value of the Wolf Numbers, and about 1 year precede the local growth of infectious, parasitic, skin and lung diseases. Conclusion. The obtained results provide a basis for a more detailed study of these dependencies in order to create a phenological model of the prognosis of morbidity of the local population.
Keywords: Arctic regions, industrial areas, phenology of aboriginal plants, prediction of local population morbidity
Received 19.04.2019.
For citation:
Sereda L.N. The relationship between perennial rhythms of population morbidity and wild plants developmentin terms of changes in solar activity. Vestn. Ural. Med. Akad. Nauki. = Journal of Ural Medical Academic Science. 2019, Vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 190–194. DOI: 10.22138/2500-0918-2019-16-2-190-194 (In Russ)
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Author
Lidiya N. Sereda
Polar Alpine Botanical Garden & Institute; Kola Sci. Centre of Russian Academy of Science
Senior researcher
Fersmana str. 18a Apatity Murmansk region Russian Federation 184209
sundukpandory87@mail.ru
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)